HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
9 July
3.25 million
Moscow residents are first-generation migrants from other regions of Russia, i.e., they were born outside the capital.
13 May
2015
Submission deadline: June 29, 2026