Considering News Background Can Improve GDP Projections in Periods of Instability
The accuracy of Russian GDP forecasts during periods of instability improves in 45% of cases when news reports are taken into account. However, during more stable periods, this advantage nearly disappears. News provides an up-to-date view of the economy and enables quicker responses to emerging challenges. This was revealed by an analysis of over 500,000 news reports conducted by Ivan Stankevich and Natalia Makeeva of the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences (FES), and Nikita Lyubaykin. The study results have been published in Voprosy Ekonomiki.
'I Would Like to Leave a Lasting Impact on Science'
Aibek Alanov pursues his own scientific research and leads two teams of scientists, one at HSE University and the other at AIRI. In this interview for the HSE Young Scientists project, he explores the parallels between today's AI researchers and early 20th-century physicists, discusses generative models, and shares his passion for bachata partner dancing.
Scientists Disprove Bunkbed Conjecture
Mathematicians from Russia, including two HSE graduates, have disproven a well-known mathematical conjecture that, despite lacking solid proof, had been considered valid for 40 years. The ‘Bunkbed Conjecture’ belongs to percolation theory—a branch of mathematics that studies the formation of connected structures in independent environments.